Gemini Gets CFTC Approval to Launch Regulated Prediction Markets in the U.S.

Gemini Gets CFTC Approval to Launch Regulated Prediction Markets in the U.S.

Gemini, the cryptocurrency exchange founded by Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss, has received approval from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to operate regulated prediction markets for American users. 

The approval comes in the form of a Designated Contract Market (DCM) license, granted to Gemini’s affiliate Gemini Titan, LLC. Under this license, Gemini will be able to offer binary event contracts — simple yes/no outcomes tied to future events — directly to customers in the United States. 

A Five-Year Regulatory Journey

Gemini first filed for a DCM license in March 2020, and has now concluded a five-year approval process with the CFTC. The license places Gemini in a regulated class of U.S. markets, alongside traditional derivatives exchanges, allowing the company to roll out its prediction markets under federal oversight. 

In a press statement, Gemini CEO Tyler Winklevoss described the approval as the start of a new chapter for the company, highlighting regulatory progress in the U.S. and the CFTC’s evolving stance on innovative financial products. 

What Users Can Expect

According to the official announcement, U.S. customers will soon be able to trade prediction contracts — for example, on questions like whether Bitcoin will end the year above a given price — using their existing USD balances on the Gemini platform. Web-based access will launch first, with mobile app support to follow. 

The contracts are designed to let market participants express views on future events, ranging from financial outcomes to macroeconomic and other measurable results, within a regulated environment. 

Broader Derivatives Expansion Plans

Beyond event contracts, Gemini has signaled that it plans to pursue further U.S. derivatives offerings, including crypto futures, options, and perpetual contracts. These products remain largely unavailable to U.S. traders under current rules and would represent a significant expansion of Gemini’s regulated financial marketplace. 

Market and Industry Context

The decision marks a significant step for the prediction markets sector, which has seen rapid growth and renewed regulatory interest in 2025. Gemini’s move also places it in direct competition with other regulated prediction platforms and reflects broader acceptance of event-based markets in the United States.