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Clawdbot on Polymarket Shows Near-99% Win Rate

HomeTechnologyClawdbot on Polymarket Shows Near-99% Win Rate

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Clawdbot on Polymarket has recorded an unprecedented near 99% win rate in the 15-minute Bitcoin price markets. A remarkable example includes a bet on a BTC market that returned 174.96%, turning $35,928.78 into $62,860.52. An account, known as Account88888, boasts over 11,000 trades with a near-perfect winning streak, showcasing the impressive capabilities of the Clawdbot. These metrics highlight the bot’s efficiency in exploiting pricing inefficiencies on Polymarket without delving into specific operational mechanisms or outcomes.

Polymarket offers two-outcome 15-minute Bitcoin price markets where the winning outcome pays $1 and the losing outcome pays nothing. When both opposing outcome contracts are priced such that their combined cost is less than $1, a risk-free arbitrage opportunity exists; in volatile moments UP and DOWN contracts can trade at prices such as $0.30 and $0.35, which creates that condition.

Clawdbot on Polymarket identifies those pricing inefficiencies and buys both sides of the market, then waits for settlement to collect the $1 payout and capture the difference between the combined purchase cost and $1. This process is mechanical and does not depend on predicting market direction.

The bot executes this strategy repeatedly across 15-minute markets, extracting small spreads between panic pricing and mathematical certainty. The execution pattern is fully automated: the bot buys both sides, holds until settlement, and realizes the fixed payout without reacting to news or market direction; it operates by farming these spreads.

Automation provides a heavy advantage in 2026, as noted in the article. Clawdbot/Moltbot require setup, trust in code, and access to funds to run this automated arbitrage.

Account88888 is identified in reporting as having a win rate that sits close to 100% and an account history of over 11,000 trades. The trader Xmaeth reportedly grew an account from $100 to $347 overnight using Clawdbot. One documented example showed a $35,928.78 bet on a BTC market that returned $62,860.52, a 174.96% return.

Clawdbot was developed by Peter Steinberger and has been rebranded as Moltbot. Clawdbot/Moltbot are described as tools that require setup, trust in code, and access to funds to operate. The bot mechanically extracts arbitrage from pricing inefficiencies on Polymarket. The article states that automation provides a heavy advantage in 2026.

Regulatory challenges and the risk of losses exist with automated trading on Polymarket. The reporting includes a caution that cryptocurrency is a high-risk asset class. This section presents factual details about notable users, the tool’s development and operational requirements, and the regulatory and financial risks tied to automated trading on Polymarket.

Clawdbot on Polymarket has demonstrated a near 99% win rate in 15-minute Bitcoin price markets and uses arbitrage by buying both UP and DOWN contracts when their combined price is below $1 to capture the difference at settlement. The strategy is executed mechanically and repeatedly by the automated bot, which farms spreads between panic pricing and mathematical certainty without reacting to market direction or news.

Reporting notes that automation provides a heavy advantage in 2026, but automated trading on Polymarket carries regulatory challenges and the risk of losses, and cryptocurrency is a high-risk asset class.

This website and its articles do not provide any investment advisory services within the meaning of applicable regulations. The information published may be incomplete, outdated, or contain errors. The author makes no representation or warranty regarding the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information presented. Use of this information is entirely at the reader’s own risk. Under no circumstances shall the author be held liable for financial decisions made on the basis of the content published on this website.
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Crypto Fanhttps://calipsu.com
Calipsu.com is dedicated to providing clear, reliable, and accessible information about cryptocurrencies, blockchain technology, and decentralized finance (DeFi). Its mission is to help readers better understand a rapidly evolving ecosystem that is often complex, technical, and misunderstood. The platform covers a wide range of topics, from major blockchain networks and crypto assets to DeFi protocols, Web3 applications, and emerging trends. The website also publishes practical guides and tutorials that explain how decentralized tools function, such as wallets, staking mechanisms, lending protocols, and liquidity pools. These guides aim to describe processes and risks clearly, helping readers understand the mechanics behind DeFi rather than encouraging participation.

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